Could Egyptian government use inflation

Document Type : Original Article

Author

Economic Department, HIMIT - Kafr El Sheikh

Abstract

Egypt's public debt exceeds 100% of GDP in 2018. In some cases,
inflation (in some special cases) may help reduce the real value of public debt
and thus reduce debt to GDP ratio. This policy is similar to that used at the
end of World War II in some HDCs. This paper therefore provides an
analytical framework for determining the impact of inflation on nominal
public debt. Accordingly, Other things being equal, to reduce the current rates
of public debt to GDP, an inflation rate more than 12.28% and of 7.35% per
annum should be attained in the short run (no Fisher effect) and long run (full
Fisher effect) respectively, and the maximum cumulative level to use inflation
policy to erode the real value of public debt is about 125.6%, the level at
which the ratio of external public debt is equal to the ratio of domestic public
debt, so that in the long run any decrease in real value of domestic public debt
will be equivalent to the increase in external debt.

Keywords